Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.296230 0.352096 0.419600 0.508437 0.624219 0.772830 0.982836
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.213424 0.278393 0.367889 0.505108 0.719961 1.062733 1.698142
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.165328 0.229557 0.326449 0.492766 0.794191 1.375925 2.788293
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.140471 0.205146 0.310337 0.509554 0.923112 1.890911 5.102271
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.118563 0.179314 0.283518 0.495658 0.984986 2.331493 8.376655
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.105257 0.164394 0.270999 0.503722 1.101023 3.063052 16.024026
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.093368 0.149473 0.254599 0.497306 1.178513 3.804192 30.147417
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.085726 0.140712 0.247912 0.510428 1.323259 5.111023 75.998549
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.080103 0.134683 0.245283 0.532583 1.518478 7.229192 300.396251
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.074772 0.128330 0.240538 0.547665 1.706932 10.092843 2578.792127
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.070413 0.123223 0.237461 0.566610 1.936347 14.694979 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.066153 0.117706 0.232336 0.577871 2.150494 21.141205 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.062078 0.112165 0.226436 0.586041 2.374703 31.246704 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.057971 0.106075 0.218185 0.584041 2.550988 44.888987 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.053815 0.099408 0.207393 0.569738 2.641423 60.216030 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.051525 0.096604 0.206113 0.590367 3.024025 114.150927 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.048082 0.090822 0.195989 0.573550 3.098223 160.456336 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.045911 0.087725 0.192689 0.583377 3.437288 330.034792 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.043375 0.083529 0.185700 0.575586 3.609019 600.923725 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.041782 0.081389 0.184213 0.591548 4.087430 2191.963465 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.040597 0.080095 0.184972 0.618555 4.803249 38283.534389 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.039255 0.078283 0.183908 0.636986 5.501198 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.038102 0.076823 0.183698 0.660184 6.411516 NaN NaN